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Old 03-03-2008, 10:55 AM   #1

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F22/F35 Quality w/ Price or Older Aircraft Standard w/ Quantity

Robert M. Gates, the Pentagon chief, recently declared, “We’re fighting two wars, in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the F-22 has not performed a single mission in either theater.” Even by the low standard of Raptor criticisms, this one was strange.

The F-22, as Gates knows, has not been around very long. Nor is it the only virgin weapon out there; in its wars with terrorists, the US has not employed ICBMs, attack submarines, or Patriot air defense batteries, either. Yet the Defense Secretary has not seen fit to mention that.

Unfortunately, though, we cannot easily dismiss Gates’ remark. He and Deputy Defense Secretary Gordon England have drawn a line in the sand on the Raptor. (See “Washington Watch,” p. 8.) And their actions suggest something deeper and more ominous than opposition to a fighter.

USAF says it needs 381 Raptors, but its 2009 budget, unveiled Feb. 4, makes no provision for any beyond an already approved 183. If there was any doubt about DOD’s hostility, Gates and England erased it with this string of remarks to House and Senate panels:

Gates, Feb. 6: “It [the F-22] is principally for use against a near peer. ... Looking at what I regard as the level of risk of conflict with one of those near peers over the next four or five years, ... something along the lines of 183 is a reasonable buy.”

Gates, Feb. 6: “My worry is that a significant expansion of the production of the F-22 in the out years will [limit] how many [F-35s] can be purchased.”

England, Feb. 12: “The Air Force [does] have older airplanes. Unfortunately, a lot of the money was spent on a relatively small number of F-22s that are very high cost.”

England, Feb. 13: “My strong feeling is that we have enough F-22s. They’re designed for a specific mission, we have enough to do that mission.”

England, Feb. 13: “The [F-35] performance and the F-22 performance is extraordinarily close. ... [The F-35] is a much newer airplane, so it also has very similar, if not in some cases better, performance with other attributes.”

England, Feb. 13: “We have an aging fighter fleet, but, on the other hand, they’ve spent $65 billion, and we have 183 F-22s. I mean, at some point, we have to decide not to buy the very costly, high-end airplane, and buy the quantity.”

Translation: The F-22 is of no value in irregular war. The Raptor is needed to fight China, Russia, or other “near-peers,” but such war is unlikely. The fighters are competitive, not complementary. The focus on the F-22 has aggravated USAF’s aging fleet problem. The F-22 is a one-trick pony. The two new fighters are comparable.

Not to put too fine a point on it, senior Air Force officials dispute each and every one of these assertions.

Now is not the time for detailed rebuttals, which we and others have printed on many occasions. The bigger question at this point is this: Why, on an issue of supreme importance to the Air Force, does the Pentagon find itself unable to agree with USAF’s leadership? Why does the Air Force lack clout?

The Air Force has been struggling with this one for a while. It was a subject of an unpublished point paper produced in 1998 by John T. Correll, a former Editor in Chief of this magazine and a respected commentator on airpower issues. The gist of Correll’s paper was captured in its provocative title: “Is the Air Force No. 4?” Number 4, that is, in standing among the US armed services.

Correll observed that, in the seven years since USAF’s triumph in the 1991 Gulf War, the Air Force had lost much ground relative to the other branches. By 1998, he noted, it had “become popular to disparage airpower, especially Air Force airpower.”

As Correll told it, most of the anti-Air Force sentiment originated within the other services, but they had successfully exported it to the news media, think tanks, Congress, and DOD offices. Airpower routinely was undervalued and discounted in joint doctrine and budget deliberations.

“In the Joint World,” Correll wrote, “the Air Force encounters the headwinds of tradition” and airpower was always made subordinate to the surface battle.

Ten years have passed, and the problem seems, if anything, to have gotten worse. The Army, Navy, and Marine Corps readily accept the Air Force in a support role—ISR and air mobility—but not as a force which can act in an independent combat fashion. This has had consequences.

Five years of bloody ground combat in Afghanistan and Iraq indisputably have pushed the Army and Marine Corps to the head of the Washington line. The Navy clearly occupies a more favored position when it comes to command assignments.

Maybe the Air Force really has become No. 4. If so, that may explain why airmen have such difficulty making their F-22 case; it could be that nobody’s really listening. It may well be one reason that USAF’s unfunded requirements list this year exceeds $18 billion.

What is to be done? One school of thought holds that USAF is in bad odor because airmen have been cocky and arrogant, and that the proper response now is to lower the volume, become jointer-than-thou, and do the best one can. Others say the Air Force needs to speak up more forcefully for its position. This is what Correll, a decade ago, called “The Billy Mitchell Position.”

The decision on how to approach the problem will influence more than just the outcome of the F-22 matter, which is still up in the air. (Rather than moving to shut down the line, DOD has opted to let a new Administration decide whether to seek more of the fighters.) It will also help determine the service’s future size, shape, and mission.

For the Air Force, there won’t always be a Gates. There won’t always be an England. There will, however, be a new President and Secretary of Defense next year. We should all hope that they bring greater understanding to dealing with USAF’s multiple problems.
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Old 03-03-2008, 11:13 AM   #2
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Welcome to the forums?

Why does the air force need more Raptors? Because the air force wants to better than the other branches or because we need to be ready to fight China/Russia?

Judging on what evidence you posted alone, I actually agree with Bob Gates.


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Old 03-03-2008, 11:24 AM   #3
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Welcome to the forums

We dont need F22's or F35's at this point when we still have tons of other acceptable aircraft. Not to mention that according to this article, we have over a hundred F22's. It really is about cost/benefit here.

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Old 03-03-2008, 11:28 AM   #4
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I think he was referring to George Bush's leaders (IE his Cabinet). I actually like Bob Gates despite the war. He is doing a much better job than Rumsfeld.


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Old 03-03-2008, 12:27 PM   #5

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gotta side with gates on this one, billions of dollars are being spent on F22s but not one of them is ever going to be used in Iraq and Afghanistan.

wouldnt the money being spent on these fancy expensive paperweights be better used for fighting actual wars instead of the international dick waving competition against contestents who will almost certainly never be fought any time soon?

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Old 03-03-2008, 01:57 PM   #6
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"Secure the peace, prepare for war"

The reason F22s will not likely be needed in the exact role they were designed for (Air-Air Superiority in a large-scale war) is because they are available. They are an incredibly effective deterrent to agressors because, well, enemy nations are fully aware that they stand no real chance against them. If N Korea thought they could take S Korea, they would. I mean, they still are at war technically.

I'd say go with the F22/F35, as much as I love the Falcon/Eagle/Hornet.


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Old 03-03-2008, 02:50 PM   #7
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Allegedly the F-22 Raptor can achieve a kill ratio of 108-0 compared to other current US fighter aircraft.

Assuming that this kill ratio (for arguements sake we'll make it 108-1) can be replicated under combat conditions, those planned 183 raptors will shoot down 19,764 aircraft before they are all destroyed themselves. This translates to destroying the entire (They are operating ~2300 aircraft at this time, and many our out of date source) PLAAF just over 8.5 times. Thats before one factors in other US aircraft, Allied Aircraft & surface based antiaircraft systems.

Personally I'd say thats quite enough.

Assuming, of course, the F-22 isn't all talk and no trousers.

The F-35 can still do that role (though probably less effectivly) and many more besides, as it is a proper multi-role aircraft and not simply an Air Superiority Fighter with a bit of an A-t-S role bolted on at the last minute.

The key to modernising any weapon is covering them in glue and tossing them in a barrel of M1913 rails until they look "Modern" enough.

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Old 03-03-2008, 03:26 PM   #8

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Old 03-03-2008, 04:41 PM   #9
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^Copious amounts of Lulls!


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Old 03-03-2008, 04:48 PM   #10

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Viper5 View Post
"Secure the peace, prepare for war"

The reason F22s will not likely be needed in the exact role they were designed for (Air-Air Superiority in a large-scale war) is because they are available. They are an incredibly effective deterrent to agressors because, well, enemy nations are fully aware that they stand no real chance against them. If N Korea thought they could take S Korea, they would. I mean, they still are at war technically.

I'd say go with the F22/F35, as much as I love the Falcon/Eagle/Hornet.
"You cannot simultaneously prevent and prepare for war."
Albert Einstein

They are not needed, but at the same time if what they would replace (F-22 -->F-15) are becoming more problematic and require more and more maintenance which becomes very expensive and when you are doing repairs more frequently on ever decreasing flight hours thats not really a sound investment in defense. It's probably still cheaper but what good is something if it isn't as reliable as it should or used to be, esp when your life and others depend on it. 183 is enough plenty, and lets not forget the Army got it's Comanche scrapped and that would have actually been used in these conflicts.

Bottom line is we can't afford any of this stuff.

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